Is the Latino Vote Shifting in Florida? What We Know

The Latino vote in Florida shows signs of shifting toward the Democratic Party. This is revealed by new polls and a visit by congressional leaders to Miami Beach on Friday, September 25, 2026. Pete Aguilar, president of the House Democratic Caucus, and Suzan DelBene, head of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), led the event alongside Representative Jared Moskowitz. This was reported by EFE.

What do polls show about the Latino vote in Florida?

A poll by The New York Times/Siena, conducted from September 8-13, 2026, found that 64% of likely Hispanic voters would support Democrats on the generic congressional ballot. Only 29% would support Republicans.

This figure represents a significant shift from 2024. At that time, the same pollsters found that Kamala Harris led among Hispanics by only 7 percentage points against Trump.

The president’s approval among Hispanic voters fell to 26%, compared to 38% among the general electorate. This was reported according to the same poll. Additionally, three out of four Hispanics said they trusted Democrats more to handle immigration and the cost of living.

A separate poll by Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision, conducted among 1,500 registered Hispanic voters in 17 competitive electoral districts, found that Democrats maintained an advantage of 58% to 35% on the generic congressional ballot. In Florida specifically, among voters who supported Trump in 2024, Democrats led 52% to 39%.

What did Democratic leaders say in Miami Beach?

During the press conference at Tropical Beach Café, a Latino restaurant, Aguilar answered affirmatively when asked if Florida is now more competitive than his party anticipated. On the other hand, Hispanic voters represent close to one-fifth of the state’s electorate.

«Over and over, we are seeing that the residents of South Florida, the Hispanic community, are stepping forward and saying ‘enough, that’s enough'», said Aguilar, a California representative and Mexican descent.

DelBene, a Washington representative, agreed that the path to reclaiming the Democratic majority in Congress goes through Florida. She said: «I’m in Florida because the path to the majority goes directly through here», the lawmaker stated.

Aguilar attributed the Hispanic discontent to a set of Trump policies, including the war in Iran, inflation, gas costs, and mass deportations. Additionally, he said: «What has happened is that it has taken our friends, our neighbors, our employees in this community, and it has created an environment where people are afraid», he declared.

Why does immigration concern Hispanic voters in Florida?

Representative Jared Moskowitz, who is running for reelection in Florida’s 25th district, described what he called a «double blow»