Who is Winning Between Becerra and Hilton in California Polls?
Xavier Becerra maintains a 22-point lead over Steve Hilton in California’s gubernatorial race according to RCP polling averages, with the general election scheduled for November 3. The two candidates differ significantly on proposals regarding cost of living and taxes, with Becerra seeking to maintain his polling advantage while Hilton attempts to narrow the gap.

Xavier Becerra maintains a 22-point lead over Steve Hilton, according to the RCP average. The general election for California’s governorship will be held on November 3. Both candidates differ on proposals regarding cost of living and taxes.
The race for California’s governorship features Becerra and Hilton as the main contenders. The Democrat seeks to maintain his polling advantage. Meanwhile, the Republican is attempting to close the gap before November.

What Does the Poll Average Show Between Becerra and Hilton?
According to the RCP average, updated on August 25, Becerra registers 58% voting intent. Hilton, meanwhile, reaches 36%. That difference represents a 22-point advantage for the Democrat.
What Other Polls Measured the Gubernatorial Race?
In addition to the RCP average, several individual polls showed similar results throughout the year.
| Poll | Date Conducted | Becerra | Hilton |
| Los Angeles Times/UC Berkeley | August 3-9 | 55% | 37% |
| Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) | June 29 – July 6 | 61% | 36% |
| Los Angeles Times/UC Berkeley | May 19-24 | 52% | 31% |
| California Election Policy and Public Opinion (CEPP) | May 23-26 | 58% | 35% |
The August Los Angeles Times/UC Berkeley poll included 2,310 likely voters. Therefore, that study offers a broad sample of current voter preferences.
How Does RCP Rate the California Race?
RCP currently rates the race as «Safe Dem.» That category reflects a strong state lean toward the Democratic candidate. However, the rating can change according to how the campaign unfolds.
What Does Xavier Becerra Propose in His Campaign?
Becerra centers his message on cost of living and healthcare. Additionally, he defends different state-level policies against his Republican rival.
During a political forum in Sacramento on August 11, Becerra defended a campaign based on concrete proposals. According to the Los Angeles Times, the Democrat stated: «You can’t make inflated promises, because people want to see that you deliver.»
He also addressed prescription drug prices during that same event. According to that outlet, Becerra asserted that he can repeat previous achievements on that matter.
What Does Steve Hilton Propose to Differentiate Himself?
Meanwhile, Hilton proposes changes to taxes, regulations, and state government spending. According to the Los Angeles Times, he characterized California’s current situation as an «absolute crisis.»
Additionally, he proposed reducing gas prices to US$3 per gallon. He also proposed lowering taxes and utility costs for state residents.
According to experts cited by that outlet, Hilton seeks to attract voters who do not support Donald Trump. During the launch of his campaign, he maintained that the dispute should focus on problems specific to the state. According to the Los Angeles Times, he avoided centering his message on national politics.
What Does Polymarket Show About This Election?
In addition to the RCP average, the Polymarket platform also shows an advantage for Becerra. However, that indicator does not directly measure voting intent.
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